Burnley v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.6
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Wieffer 43', 89'
- Date Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brighton favored. Burnley win 20%, draw 24%, Brighton win 56%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||