Burnley v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Ugochukwu 18'Tchaouna 68'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 0.2 to 1.9
LeedsLeeds United
- Date Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Burnley win 22%, draw 27%, Leeds win 51%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.6 | ||