Burnley v Liverpool, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.4 to 2.7
LiverpoolLiverpool
Salah 90+5' penalty
- Date Sunday, September 14, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Burnley win 9%, draw 13%, Liverpool win 78%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.7 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.7 | ||