Burnley v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Heaven 13' (OG)Anthony 66'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 0.4 to 3.2
Man UnitedManchester United
Sesko 50', 60'
- Date Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Burnley win 21%, draw 23%, Man United win 56%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 3.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.8 | ||