Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Chalobah 48'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.7
ArsenalArsenal
Merino 59'
- Date Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Chelsea win 31%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||