Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 37'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 63', 84'
- Date Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 51%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||