Chelsea v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 26'Palmer 76' penalty
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.7
BrentfordBrentford
- Date Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 46%, draw 24%, Brentford win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||