Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Fernández 24'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.7
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Welbeck 77', 90+10'De Cuyper 90+2'
- Date Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 51%, draw 23%, Brighton win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||