Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 4'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.0
BurnleyBurnley
Flemming 90+3'
- Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 77%, draw 15%, Burnley win 8%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||