Chelsea v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 24'Palmer 58' penalty
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 3.5 to 1.0
LeedsLeeds United
Nmecha 67' penaltyOkafor 73'
- Date Tuesday, February 10, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 10. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 53%, draw 23%, Leeds win 24%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||