Chelsea v Liverpool, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Caicedo 14'Estêvão 90+5'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 0.9 to 2.1
LiverpoolLiverpool
Gakpo 63'
- Date Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Chelsea win 32%, draw 23%, Liverpool win 45%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||