Chelsea v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 0.6
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 18'
- Date Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 50%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||