Chelsea v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2025–26
ChelseaChelsea
Pedro 90+3'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.6
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Awoniyi 2', 52'Jesus 15' penalty
- Date Monday, May 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 57%, draw 23%, Nott'm Forest win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||