Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025–26
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Mateta 64', 69', 90+7' penalty
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 3.9 to 1.4
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Kroupi 7', 38'Christie 89'
- Date Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 42%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Crystal Palace | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||