Crystal Palace v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Strand Larsen 17', 33'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 2.3 to 0.7
BurnleyBurnley
Mejbri 40'Anthony 44'Lerma 45+2' (OG)
- Date Wednesday, February 11, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 68%, draw 20%, Burnley win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Crystal Palace | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||