Crystal Palace v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Mateta 80', 90+4' penalty
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.2 to 0.8
NewcastleNewcastle United
Osula 43'
- Date Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 39%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 35%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||