Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.4
ArsenalArsenal
Gyökeres 27' penalty
- Date Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 21%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 53%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||