Everton v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Tarkowski 32'Dewsbury-Hall 60'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.7
BurnleyBurnley
- Date Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 60%, draw 24%, Burnley win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||