Everton v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Ndiaye 76' penaltyGrealish 90+3'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.8
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Muñoz 37'
- Date Sunday, October 5, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Everton win 34%, draw 28%, Crystal Palace win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||