Everton v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Barry 76'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.9 to 1.8
LeedsLeeds United
Justin 28'
- Date Monday, January 26, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Everton win 34%, draw 29%, Leeds win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||