Everton v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
EvertonEverton
Barry 68', 81'O'Brien 73'
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 1.8 to 2.3
Man CityManchester City
Doku 43', 90+7'Haaland 83'
- Date Monday, May 4, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Everton win 23%, draw 26%, Man City win 51%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||