Leeds United v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Final score 0 to 4
Expected goals 0.1 to 2.2
ArsenalArsenal
Zubimendi 27'Madueke 38'Gyökeres 69'Jesus 86'
- Date Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Leeds win 23%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 50%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.7 | ||