Leeds United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Nmecha 8'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.7
Aston VillaAston Villa
Rogers 48', 75'
- Date Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 23. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Leeds win 32%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||