Leeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Calvert-Lewin 90+6'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.7
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
- Date Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 43%, draw 27%, Brighton win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.6 | ||