Leeds United v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Stach 8'Okafor 52'Calvert-Lewin 56'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 0.7
BurnleyBurnley
Tchaouna 71'
- Date Friday, May 1, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 69%, draw 19%, Burnley win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||