Leeds United v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Calvert-Lewin 38', 45+4'Ampadu 60'Stach 90+11'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.4
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Devenny 90+2' penalty
- Date Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Leeds win 37%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||