Leeds United v Everton, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Nmecha 84' penalty
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 2.9 to 0.9
EvertonEverton
- Date Monday, August 18, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 38%, draw 28%, Everton win 34%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||