Leeds United v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.9
Man CityManchester City
Semenyo 45+2'
- Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Leeds win 28%, draw 25%, Man City win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||