Leeds United v Nottingham Forest, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Bogle 26'Okafor 30'Calvert-Lewin 49'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.2
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Lucca 86'
- Date Friday, February 6, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 50%, draw 27%, Nott'm Forest win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Nott'm Forest | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||