Leeds United v Sunderland, Premier League 2025–26
LeedsLeeds United
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.0
SunderlandSunderland
Diarra 70' penalty
- Date Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leeds favored. Leeds win 53%, draw 26%, Sunderland win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Sunderland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||