Liverpool v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
LiverpoolLiverpool
Wirtz 42'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 3.5 to 0.4
BurnleyBurnley
Edwards 65'
- Date Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 79%, draw 14%, Burnley win 7%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||