Liverpool v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
LiverpoolLiverpool
Gakpo 78'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.7 to 1.2
Man UnitedManchester United
Mbeumo 2'Maguire 84'
- Date Sunday, October 19, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 65%, draw 19%, Man United win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||