Liverpool v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
LiverpoolLiverpool
Ekitike 41', 43'Wirtz 67'Konaté 90+3'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 0.6
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 36'
- Date Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 48%, draw 25%, Newcastle win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||