Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Cherki 16'Haaland 65'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 1.3
ArsenalArsenal
Havertz 18'
- Date Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man City win 35%, draw 29%, Arsenal win 36%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||