Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Semenyo 23'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.3 to 2.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 47', 61'
- Date Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 63%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||