Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 41' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.8 to 0.9
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Mitoma 60'
- Date Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 62%, draw 21%, Brighton win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||