Manchester City v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Estève 12' (OG), 65' (OG)Nunes 61'Haaland 90', 90+3'
Final score 5 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 0.6
BurnleyBurnley
Anthony 38'
- Date Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 77%, draw 15%, Burnley win 8%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||