Manchester City v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Foden 1', 90+1'Gvardiol 25'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.2
LeedsLeeds United
Calvert-Lewin 49'Nmecha 68'
- Date Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 69%, draw 19%, Leeds win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||