Manchester City v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
Foden 18'Haaland 53', 68'
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.3
Man UnitedManchester United
- Date Sunday, September 14, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 60%, draw 21%, Man United win 19%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||