Manchester City v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
Man CityManchester City
O'Reilly 14', 27'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.2 to 0.7
NewcastleNewcastle United
Hall 22'
- Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 53%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||