Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.0
ArsenalArsenal
Calafiori 13'
- Date Sunday, August 17, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 22%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 54%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||