Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Casemiro 53'Cunha 71'Sesko 81'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Barkley 64'
- Date Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 49%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||