Manchester United v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Cullen 27' (OG)Mbeumo 57'Fernandes 90+7' penalty
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 3.9 to 0.9
BurnleyBurnley
Foster 55'Anthony 66'
- Date Saturday, August 30, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 52%, draw 25%, Burnley win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||