Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Fernandes 14'Casemiro 37'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.2 to 0.6
ChelseaChelsea
Chalobah 80'
- Date Saturday, September 20, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Man United win 31%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||