Manchester United v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Mbeumo 65'Dorgu 76'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.8 to 0.6
Man CityManchester City
- Date Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man United win 29%, draw 25%, Man City win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||