Manchester United v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Dorgu 24'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.1 to 2.0
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Friday, December 26, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 40%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||