Manchester United v Sunderland, Premier League 2025–26
Man UnitedManchester United
Mount 8'Sesko 31'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.6 to 0.7
SunderlandSunderland
- Date Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 42%, draw 29%, Sunderland win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Sunderland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||