Newcastle United v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Woltemade 34'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.7 to 2.5
ArsenalArsenal
Merino 84'Magalhães 90+6'
- Date Sunday, September 28, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Newcastle win 31%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 42%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||