Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Osula 68'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.6
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Tavernier 32'Truffert 85'
- Date Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 43%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||