Newcastle United v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
NewcastleNewcastle United
Botman 24'Guimarães 79' penalty
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 3.0 to 1.6
BrentfordBrentford
Janelt 37'Thiago 45+2' penaltyOuattara 85'
- Date Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 7. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 46%, draw 25%, Brentford win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||